Forecasting demand on the Ukrainian electricity market using socio-economic variables

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Demand Forecasting for Electricity

Introduction Forecasting demand is both a science and an art. Econometric methods of forecasting, in the context of energy demand forecasting, can be described as ‘the science and art of specification, estimation, testing and evaluation of models of economic processes’ that drive the demand for fuels. The need and relevance of forecasting demand for an electric utility has become a much-discuss...

متن کامل

Electricity Demand Forecasting using Gaussian Processes

We present an electricity demand forecasting algorithm based on Gaussian processes. By introducing a taskspecific, custom covariance function kpower , which incorporates all available seasonal information as well as weather data, we are able to make accurate predictions of power consumption and renewable energy production. The hyper-parameters of the Gaussian process are optimized automatically...

متن کامل

Forecasting Uncertainty in Electricity Demand

Generalized Additive Models (GAM) are a widely popular class of regression models to forecast electricity demand, due to their high accuracy, flexibility and interpretability. However, the residuals of the fitted GAM are typically heteroscedastic and leptokurtic caused by the nature of energy data. In this paper we propose a novel approach to estimate the time-varying conditional variance of th...

متن کامل

“the effect of risk aversion on the demand for life insurance: the case of iranian life insurance market”

abstract: about 60% of total premium of insurance industry is pertained?to life policies in the world; while the life insurance total premium in iran is less than 6% of total premium in insurance industry in 2008 (sigma, no 3/2009). among the reasons that discourage the life insurance industry is the problem of adverse selection. adverse selection theory describes a situation where the inf...

15 صفحه اول

Using Weather Ensemble Predictions in Electricity Demand Forecasting

Weather forecasts are an important input to many electricity demand forecasting models. This study investigates the use of weather ensemble predictions in electricity demand forecasting for lead times from one to 10 days ahead. A weather ensemble prediction consists of 51 scenarios for a weather variable. We use these scenarios to produce 51 scenarios for the weather-related component of electr...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Economics, Management and Sustainability

سال: 2019

ISSN: 2520-6303

DOI: 10.14254/jems.2019.4-1.5